Isolated thunderstorms will develop behind the front as in passes through the Concho Valley late this afternoon. Those isolated thunderstorms are forecast to develop into a line of thunderstorms and intensify tonight to above severe levels.
Isolated thunderstorms will develop first ahead of the cold front as it passes. The storms will then develop into a line of thunderstorms and strengthen in the late afternoon and evening hours. The later the line of thunderstorms develops, the more rain it will produce.
Another cold front will drop into Texas Tuesday bringing rain chances to the eastern counties of the Concho Valley. A trough will develop to the west on Wednesday and current models show it capable of producing .5 to 2 inches of rain but that's on the upper end of what will actually occur.
The Southern Area Gold Type 2 Incident Management Team has arrived in Texas and will assume command of the Mesquite Heat Fire. An incident management team is mobilized during complex emergency incidents to provide a command and control infrastructure to manage that incident.
A secondary cold front will move south across the area Sunday dropping temperatures further and ushering in a good chance of scattered thunderstorms beginning Sunday evening and lasting well into next week.
The Heat Advisory is in effect from 1 pm. Friday to 9 p.m. because temperatures are forecast to reach between 103 and 107 degrees. When it's that hot, heat related illnesses will occur especially for people who spend extended periods of time outdoors in the sun.
As of Thursday afternoon, the Coconut Fire in Wilbarger County is estimated at 25,000 acres and 20 percent contained, and the Mesquite Heat Fire in Taylor County is estimated at 9,613 acres and 25 percent containment.