NWS Forecasts Warmer and Drier Winter for West Central Texas

 

SAN ANGELO, TX - The National Weather Service released a winter seasonal outlook, predicting above-normal temperatures and below-normal precipitation for West Central Texas.

The forecast indicates a 74% chance of La Niña conditions developing by the end of the year.

National Weather Service

National Weather Service

Historically, La Niña brings warmer and drier conditions to the region, as reflected in the seasonal outlook. However, the NWS warned that individual storm systems could result in significantly different weather patterns, citing the extreme cold outbreak of February 2021, which occurred during a La Niña winter.

In terms of recent weather, both San Angelo and Abilene have experienced above-average temperatures and varying precipitation levels this year. As of September 7, 2024, San Angelo recorded a year-to-date average temperature of 71.4°F, 2.0°F above normal, and precipitation levels 1.67 inches below normal. Abilene reported similar trends, with temperatures 1.9°F higher than normal and precipitation 1.4 inches above average.

National Weather Service

National Weather Service

After an unusually hot summer, San Angelo reached a record high of 112°F on August 21, marking its third-highest temperature ever for that month. The city is currently in fourth place for the number of 100°F days, with 61 days so far in 2024. Abilene also experienced extreme heat, setting a new record of 113°F for August 21.

National Weather Service

National Weather Service

Looking ahead, the region is expected to experience warming through the end of this week, with high temperatures in the low 90s by the weekend.

National Weather Service

National Weather Service

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