HOUSTON, TX - A recent survey from the University of Houston’s Hobby School of Public Affairs and Texas Southern University’s Barbara Jordan-Mickey Leland School of Public Affairs offers insights into how Texans may vote in the 2024 election.
The survey, conducted in two waves—June 20 to July 1 and August 5 to August 16—showed a shift in voter preference following President Joe Biden’s withdrawal from the race on July 21.
Initially, 49% of likely Texas voters supported Donald Trump, with 40% backing Biden. However, in the more recent survey, Trump’s support edged slightly higher to 49.5%, while 44.6% of likely voters indicated they would vote for Vice President Kamala Harris. Support for Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. remained low, with only 2% of likely voters expressing intent to vote for him. There's speculation stirring stating that Kennedy is expected to drop out and endorse Trump.
The survey also highlighted demographic differences. Among men, 56% favored Trump, while 38% preferred Harris. Conversely, 50% of women likely voters supported Harris, with 44% backing Trump. Younger voters, particularly from Generation Z, leaned towards Harris, with 55% indicating support compared to 38% for Trump. The survey noted a close divide among Latino Texans, with 47% favoring Trump and 46% supporting Harris.
In the U.S. Senate race, the survey suggests a tight contest between incumbent Republican Ted Cruz and Democratic challenger Colin Allred. Cruz was favored by 46.6% of likely voters, while 44.5% supported Allred. Men showed a preference for Cruz (52%), while Allred led among women voters with 49% support.
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