Cold Rain in the Concho Valley Tuesday Afternoon

SAN ANGELO – There is a 70% chance of rain across parts of West Central Texas Tuesday afternoon and again later in the week.  

According to the National Weather Service office at Mathis Field in San Angelo, a weather system originating from an upper-level trough centered in Arizona is poised to impact West Central Texas, triggering a surge in shower activity across the region today. Showers are forecasted to intensify through late morning, primarily targeting central and eastern counties. The eastern region is expected to experience a higher concentration of showers this afternoon, with precipitation probabilities varying significantly across the area.

Eastern counties in the Concho Valley could see precipitation chances between 70 and 100 percent, while far western and southwestern parts may encounter only slight chances of rainfall. Rainfall estimates indicate light amounts spanning from a few hundredths to a quarter of an inch in the western region and slightly higher, ranging from a quarter to half an inch, in the eastern parts, with the possibility of localized higher totals.

The weather conditions, characterized by anticipated cloud cover and potential precipitation, are anticipated to keep daytime temperatures notably below the seasonal norms, with highs hovering mainly in the 40s. Overnight temperatures are expected to be relatively less frigid due to continued extensive cloud cover, with lows ranging from the mid to upper 30s.

A shift toward dry and slightly warmer weather is projected for Wednesday, marked by the development of short-wave ridging ahead of another upper-level storm system emerging in the Desert Southwest. Wednesday is predicted to feature mostly sunny skies but with temperatures slightly below the usual levels for this time of the year, reaching highs in the mid to upper 50s.

As Thursday approaches, southwest flow aloft is set to establish itself in anticipation of a closed upper low progressing eastward from Arizona into northern sections of New Mexico. Consequently, cloud cover is expected to increase throughout the day on Thursday, maintaining highs in the mid to upper 50s.

The upper-level system is anticipated to move eastward across the Texas Panhandle by Thursday night and West Central Texas by Friday morning. Showers could occur from west to east during Thursday night into Friday, although precipitation amounts are likely to remain light, generally estimated at 1/10 inch or less, with an early afternoon end to the precipitation across the far eastern sections.