San Angelo COVID-19 Case Count Jumps to 861

 

SAN ANGELO, TX — The County-City Health Department in San Angelo announced the COVID-19 case count increased to 861, up a whopping 91 from Thursday. But the reason for the increase has to do with delayed reporting caused by an additional and new way health care providers are testing patients here, not an indication of a worsening COVID-19 situation in Tom Green County.

There were an additional 54 COVID-19 tests that were conducted on patients between June 30 and July 9. Those 54 test results were added to today's 37 new cases. Of the 861 total positive cases reported since the pandemic reporting began March 18, 807 are Polymerase chain reaction (PCR) tests and 54 are positive cases discovered with the newer Antigen tests over the past two weeks, for which reporting has been delayed since June 30.

In summary, there were 37 new cases reported today. And, an additional 54 cases backdated to June 30 were reported today also.

The City began breaking out the positive test results by what type of tests were administered Friday. Here are the differences:

PCR tests

Polymerase chain reaction (PCR) tests are a molecular diagnostic testing technique that detects the genetic material from the virus and can help diagnose an active COVID-19 infection. Testing samples are collected from the nasal cavity using swabs.

Antigen tests

These diagnostic tests quickly detect fragments of proteins found on or within the virus by testing samples collected from the nasal cavity using swabs. Antigen tests are very specific for the virus but are not as sensitive as molecular PCR tests. This means that positive results from antigen tests are highly accurate, but there is a higher chance of false negatives, so negative results do not rule out infection. With this in mind, negative results from an antigen test may need to be confirmed with a PCR test prior to making treatment decisions or to prevent the possible spread of the virus due to a false negative.

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The Good News

This week, 177 people and contacts with known positive cases were released from quarantine/isolation. What remains are 353 active COVID-19 patients awaiting recovery. Of those 353, 42 are hospitalized as of Friday afternoon. Hospitalizations are down from yesterday from 48, as reported by the City.

The City of San Angelo Public Affairs is reporting COVID-19 data on behalf of multiple agencies and hospitals throughout Tom Green County. Some positive test results are listed from outside Tom Green County. The county-city health department in San Angelo reports all test results regardless of the home county or state of the patient if that test was conducted inside the boundaries of the county.

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Demographics

Here are the demographics of those who tested positive over the past 24 hours:

  • Female in her 20s, Hispanic, Tom Green County (TGC)

  • Female in her 20s, white, Hays County
  • Female in her 60s, Hispanic, TGC
  • Female in her 30s, Hispanic, TGC
  • Young female, Hispanic, TGC
  • Male in his 30s, Hispanic, Schleicher County
  • Female in her 40s, Hispanic, TGC
  • Female in her 20s, white, TGC
  • Teenage female, white, TGC
  • Male in his 70s, Hispanic, Crockett County
  • Female in her 50s, white, Coke County
  • Female in her 50s, Hispanic, Menard County
  • Female in her 30s, Hispanic, TGC
  • Female in her 80s, Hispanic, TGC
  • Female in her 40s, Hispanic, TGC
  • Female in her 60s, white, Howard County
  • Female in her 40s, white, TGC
  • Male in his 20s, Hispanic, TGC
  • Female in her 30s, Hispanic, TGC
  • Female in her 20s, white, TGC
  • Male in his 20s, Hispanic, TGC
  • Female in her 80s, Hispanic, Crockett County
  • Female in her 50s, Hispanic, TGC
  • Female in her 40s, Hispanic, TGC
  • Male in his 80s, white, TGC
  • Male in his 30s, Hispanic, TGC
  • Male in his 50s, Hispanic, TGC
  • Female in her 40s, Hispanic, TGC
  • Female in her 30s, Hispanic, TGC
  • Female in her 30s, white, TGC
  • Female in her 20s, Hispanic, TGC
  • Female in her 70s, white, TGC
  • Female in her 40s, white, TGC
  • Female in her 30s, Hispanic, TGC
  • Female in her 80s, white, TGC
  • Female in her 50s, white, Concho County
  • Male in his 40s, Hispanic, TGC

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Here are the 54 Antigen positive case results' demographics reaching back to June 30:

6/30/2020

  • Male in his 30s, unknown, TGC
  • Female in her 20s, unknown, TGC
  • Female in her 30s, unknown, TGC
  • Teenage male, unknown, Runnels County

7/1/2020

  • Female in her 40s, pending racial demographic, TGC
  • Female in her 50s, Hispanic, TGC
  • Female in her 30s, pending racial demographic, pending county
  • Female in her 50s, Hispanic, TGC
  • Female in her 50s, pending racial demographic, pending county
  • Male in his 20s, pending racial demographic, pending county
  • Male in his 20s, pending racial demographic, pending county
  • Male in his 20s, pending racial demographic, pending county
  • Male in his 30s, pending racial demographic, pending county
  • Male in his 20s, pending racial demographic, pending county
  • Male in his 20s, pending racial demographic, pending county
  • Male in his 20s, pending racial demographic, pending county

7/2/2020

  • Male in his 20s, Hispanic, TGC
  • Teenage female, Hispanic, TGC
  • Teenage female, Hispanic, TGC
  • Female in her 30s, Hispanic, TGC
  • Male in his 20s, pending racial demographic, pending county
  • Male in his 40s, pending racial demographic, pending county

7/3/2020

  • Female in her 20s, white, TGC
  • Female in her 90s, Hispanic, TGC
  • Female in her 50s, pending racial demographic, pending county
  • Female in her 20s, pending racial demographic, pending county
  • Female in her 50s, pending racial demographic, pending county
  • Male in his 20s, pending racial demographic, pending county

7/4/2020

  • Female in her 30s, Hispanic, TGC
  • Female in her 30s, pending racial demographic, pending county
  • Female in her 50s, pending racial demographic, pending county
  • Male in his 90s, Hispanic, TGC
  • Teenage female, Hispanic, TGC
  • Female in her 30s, Hispanic, TGC
  • Male in his 40s, Hispanic, TGC

7/5/2020

  • Female in her 20s, pending racial demographic, pending county
  • Female in her 30s, Hispanic, TGC
  • Female in her 50s, white, TGC

7/6/2020

  • Female in her 90s, Hispanic, TGC
  • Female in her 50s, white, TGC
  • Male in his 50s, white, TGC
  • Male in his 20s, Hispanic, TGC
  • Male in his 40s, Hispanic, Hidalgo County
  • Female in her 30s, Hispanic, TGC

7/8/2020

  • Female in her 40s, Hispanic, TGC
  • Female in her 60s, Hispanic, TGC
  • Female in her 80s, white, TGC
  • Male in his 40s, Black, TGC
  • Infant male, Hispanic, TGC
  • Female in her 40s, Hispanic, Coke County

7/9/2020

  • Female in her 70s, pending racial demographic, pending county
  • Male in his 30s, Hispanic, TGC
  • Female in her 20s, Hispanic, TGC
  • Female in her 80s, white, TGC

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wDougL, Sat, 07/11/2020 - 09:27

... that these women are total idiots and they do not understand that when a person is in a place of business that it is considered private property of the Casino owners and they by law have the right to refuse service to anyone that does not follow the rules set by the management and owners. It has absolutely nothing to do with the Republican or Democratic parties. So W.J. your comment has no merit!

Apparently you missed the Trump praise, since you claim no merit please post a link to a video of democrats doing the same idiotic stunt. Perhaps you missed the " republicans in denial" in my post. Sorry that you have a reading comprehension disability, maybe have someone read to you comments that you fail to understand.

I'm not a medical expert, but this is my view. You know good news goes unreported, so bear with me. The good news is that Covid is far less lethal than we are led to believe. San Angelo's current (7/11) Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) is only .46%. IFR is obtained by dividing total confirmed Covid deaths (4) by total confirmed Covid cases (861). And it's still not clear if those 4 fatalities were caused by Covid or by some other comorbidity. So the real number of deaths caused by Covid could be lower. ( I found one chart that said the number of San Angelo Covid deaths was actually *1*. I've yet to verify that.) The Crude Mortality Rate (CMR) is obtained by using the total number of Covid deaths as the denominator and the population as the numerator: 4/100,015. That gives San Angelo a current mortality rate of .00399%. That's assuming 4 deaths. Of course, CMR will increase if there are additional Covid deaths. These numbers indicate that the Corona virus does not present a significant threat of death in San Angelo, or anywhere for that matter. Most people who get this virus recover and are fine. So focus on the current .46% IFR and the extremely low CMR of .00399% and be encouraged!

The IFR number I gave in my previous post assumes that the current active 393 cases will not result in additional deaths. We don't know that, so I'll use the 450 number of released cases. That would be 4/450=.89%. So at this present time we can say for certain that the Infection Fatality Rate is .89%, but will likely be lower as recoveries continue to outnumber deaths.

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